Once upon a time, not so long ago, there was much debate
about whether war between major powers in Asia was even imaginable. It
is a disturbing sign of how much the strategic environment has
deteriorated that analysts are now starting to write publicly about how
such a war might be fought.
There is a growing literature on the U.S. concept of Air-Sea Battle,
including the question of whether its use of conventional strikes
against targets on the Chinese mainland would lead to wider escalation.
Presumably this has struck a chord in the Chinese security debate –
raising questions about the efficacy of an anti-access strategy against
U.S. maritime forces – and perhaps that was the point.
Now there's another emerging theme in American open-source
speculation about how a U.S.-China conflict could unfold – a naval
blockade.
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